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Airbus: The number of global aircraft will reach 48,230 in 2043, with China and India becoming the main sources of growth

王林
王林Original
2024-07-17 11:53:11526browse

This website reported on July 15 that Airbus predicted in its annual global market outlook released today that the Chinese and Indian markets will become the main sources of growth in the aviation industry in the next 20 years, and the number of global commercial aircraft will double in the next 20 years. Bob Lange, head of market analysis and forecasting at Airbus, said: “We are seeing particularly strong growth in Asia and the Middle East, particularly driven by India and China, where domestic (aircraft) traffic (volumes) will Exceeding the United States. "The company predicts that by 2043, there will be 48,230 aircraft in the world (this site's note: this figure was 24,240 at the beginning of this year), including 42,430 new aircraft (including 41,490 passenger aircraft). About 45% of new aircraft will be used to replace older, less fuel-efficient aircraft, and the delivery of new aircraft will help reduce emissions and develop greener fuels. Of the 42,430 new aircraft, wide-body aircraft will account for 20%, reaching 8,920 aircraft; narrow-body aircraft (such as the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 series) will account for 80%, reaching 33,510 aircraft.

空客:2043 年全球飞机数量达 48230 架,中国、印度成主要增长来源

▲ Blue is the narrow-body aircraft and purple is the wide-body aircraft. Airbus also predicts that the number of aircraft traffic will grow at an annual rate of about 8% in the next three years (to make up for the growth loss during the epidemic). From 2027, Returning to a growth rate of about 3.6% per year.

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