Electric vehicles may replace traditional fuel vehicles, and oil prices may usher in an era of five consecutive increases?

The global economy is gradually recovering, resulting in some fluctuations in domestic and foreign oil prices. Some time ago, domestic oil prices just experienced four consecutive rises, reaching the highest level in the past seven months. Unfortunately, the next fuel price adjustment is expected to be on August 23, and there is a high probability that oil prices will still rise

Oil prices continue to rise, resulting in increasing travel costs for fuel vehicles. This seems to be the best time to buy new energy vehicles, however...

The pain and tears of oil car people, You electric car people don’t understand

At the current stage, we can conclude that the travel cost of fuel vehicles is significantly higher than that of electric vehicles

Taking a common A-class car as an example, let’s look at the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of BYD Qin PLUS EV. 12.5 kWh. Calculated based on the price of 1.5 yuan per kilowatt-hour of electricity, the cost per 100 kilometers is approximately 18.75 yuan.

The Volkswagen Lavida, the leading A-class fuel vehicle in terms of sales, has a fuel consumption of approximately 6 liters per 100 kilometers. According to today’s average oil price of 92-proof gasoline announced by the Car Owner’s Guide website is 8.12 yuan/liter, the cost per 100 kilometers is about 48.72 yuan, which is quite a gap.

(Source: Screenshot of Car Owners Guide Network)

What we need to consider is that the reason why oil prices are high is not entirely due to the gasoline itself, but because it contains too many taxes

There are generally six types of domestic gasoline taxes, including value-added tax, urban maintenance and construction tax, consumption tax, corporate income tax, education surtax and local education surtax. In addition, the gasoline tax also includes a fuel surtax, which includes "road maintenance fees"

The total amount of these taxes exceeds 35% of the oil price. Excluding taxes, the current average price of 92-proof gasoline is about 5 yuan. Although travel costs are still higher than pure electric vehicles, they are still within an acceptable range

Given the cost difference, electric vehicles of the same level are currently generally tens of thousands of yuan more expensive than fuel vehicles. Taking the 2023 Qin PLUS as an example, its pure electric model (EV) has a cruising range of 420 kilometers, and the leading model is priced at 129,800 yuan, while the hybrid model (DM-i) has a cruising range of 55 kilometers, and the leading model is priced at 129,800 yuan. The price is 99,800 yuan

(Source: BYD)

These two cars basically have no other configurations What a difference, but the price difference is 30,000 yuan, which is enough to buy 3,700 liters of gasoline and drive 60,000 kilometers. For ordinary people, commuting to get off work every day and driving 10,000 kilometers a year is enough. The price difference between electric vehicles and fuel vehicles is enough to cover the refueling costs of daily travel for 6 years. If the various taxes and fees on fuel vehicles are not taken into account, the gap will be even greater, and fuel vehicles do not need to worry about the degradation of battery life

There is no doubt that no matter what the reason for travel, electric vehicles are currently better than fuel vehicles It is an indisputable fact that the cost of electric vehicles is lower

The price of electric vehicles continues to fall, and a wave of price cuts has recently ushered in. Coupled with the maturation of technology and the gradual increase in sales, car companies can share costs equally through high sales. It has become a trend that the price of electric vehicles is gradually approaching that of gasoline vehicles

Now is the best time to buy electric vehicles. Can you consider giving up buying gasoline vehicles?

Not necessarily. Oil trucks have dominated the market for more than a century. Apart from oil prices, there are not many shortcomings in terms of power. As a product that has just entered the mass market, electric vehicles still have many imperfections, not only the software and hardware of the vehicle, but also the relevant regulations. Nowadays, in order to support the development of the new energy vehicle industry and energy conservation and emission reduction, countries around the world have given too many welfare policies, covering up many problems.

After the preferential period, electric vehicles may face a more severe situation than fuel vehicles

The future of electric vehicles,may not be as bright as imagined

The current hot sales of electric vehicles are inseparable from the support of relevant policies. The purchase tax-free and green license-free lottery policies make residents in first- and second-tier cities more inclined to choose electric vehicles

However, as the sales of electric vehicles increase year by year, it is only a matter of time before various preferential policies are cancelled. Let’s talk about the purchase tax exemption first. Some time ago, the relevant departments issued the latest policy. From 2023 to 2025, new energy vehicles can still enjoy purchase tax exemptions, with the maximum exemption for each vehicle not exceeding 30,000 yuan. From 2026 to 2027, the purchase tax will be halved, and the maximum deduction for each vehicle will not exceed 15,000 yuan.

(Source: pixabay)

According to industry development trends, it is expected that starting from 2028, new energy vehicles will no longer Enjoy purchase tax exemption

As for the advantage of green license exemption from lottery, new energy vehicles cannot maintain it for too long. In fact, some netizens have long called for equal rights for oil and electricity, believing that the existence of green cards seriously harms the healthy development of the automobile industry. At the end of February this year, Cui Dongshu, secretary-general of the Passenger Transport Association, revealed that he had proposed a blue-green merger proposal to relevant departments, which is expected to be implemented within two years, striving to achieve equal rights for oil and electricity.

Indeed, the main purpose of the lottery for fuel vehicles is to reduce traffic pressure, while the green license exemption is to reduce carbon emissions. However, the sales of new energy vehicles have been hitting new highs, and if not restricted, they are likely to exacerbate the problem of traffic congestion. At present, some cities such as Beijing and Shanghai have begun to impose green license restrictions on plug-in hybrid vehicles and extended-range vehicles. It is only a matter of time before new energy vehicles need to be licensed through lottery

(Source: BYD)

The biggest problem facing new energy vehicles is not these, but the possible increase in travel costs in the future

Electric vehicles are becoming After fuel vehicles are gradually replaced and kerosene vehicles are eliminated, where should we make up for the tax deficits such as value-added tax, urban maintenance and construction tax, consumption tax, corporate income tax, and education surtax?

Obviously, this part of the tax must be borne by electric vehicles. It can be added to the electricity bill or added to the sales price of electric vehicles

Electric vehicles The charging situation is relatively confusing. There are public charging piles, household charging piles, and you can also directly use the charger to connect to household electricity for slow charging. Therefore, in order to increase revenue from electricity prices, the tax issues involved are relatively complex and may require cooperation between relevant departments and car companies. The amount of electricity charged each time can be calculated on the car side, and then additional fees are charged to the consumer

(Source: NIO)

For content that has been rewritten in order not to change the original meaning, it needs to be rewritten into Chinese. No need to appear in the original sentence

To summarize, the current prospects for new energy vehicles are very optimistic. This is because traditional fuel vehicles have been shouldering the plight of the automotive industry. When fuel vehicles gradually withdraw from the stage of history, electric vehicles will inevitably have to take on the heavy responsibility of fuel vehicles

The rising oil prices are a challenge for traditional fuel vehicles, so now is the best time to buy electric vehicles It’s a good time, because electric cars still enjoy the privilege of being exempted from purchase tax and lottery.

Don’t rush to buy a car first, you might as well be a waiter

The cost of traveling with fuel vehicles is higher, and lottery may be required in first- and second-tier cities. It seems that electric vehicles are a good choice, but it should be noted that electric vehicles have not started for a long time, and there are still many problems with imperfect technology

Overseas fuel vehicles are replaced every 6 years on average The competition in the domestic automobile industry is more intense, with an average of one generation replacement every 4 years. At the beginning of this year, Zhu Jiangming, CEO of Leapmotor, complained that electric vehicles will be replaced approximately every two years. If car companies cannot keep up with the trend, they will fall behind.

(Photo source: Lingpao)

If the replacement time is too short, the value retention rate of the car will drop rapidly, and the replacement vehicle is not a regular update, there are many upgrade points, and the improved experience is also It will be relatively large. If you want to upgrade your car, you will lose at least half of it. It is no joke.

According to the current planning of domestic car companies, solid-state batteries will start mass production next year and be launched in 2025. Large-scale commercial use will be achieved in 2018, and the cost of lidar is also continuously decreasing. It is expected that by around 2025, high-end electric vehicles will generally use solid-state batteries and lidar technology, and by around 2027, mid- to low-end models are likely to start using lidar, and a few models may be equipped with solid-state batteries. These configurations will improve the car's autonomous driving and endurance capabilities and solve the current pain points of electric vehicles

Therefore, Xiaotong's suggestion is that if you are not particularly anxious to buy a car, you can consider waiting. Buying a car before relevant policy changes may be a good choice. Pure electric vehicles have not yet been able to solve the anxiety of battery life. If you really want to buy a car, you can consider plug-in hybrids and extended-range vehicles that can be registered through lottery, have no purchase tax, and have no worries about battery life.

Rewritten content: Image source: NIO

This article comes from the WeChat public account: Dianchetong (ID: dianchetong233), author: Lost Soul Quote

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