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Google's large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

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2023-11-13 08:26:39763browse

A new result recently discovered by Google DeepMind has caused widespread controversy in the Transformer field:

Its generalization ability cannot be extended to content beyond the training data.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

This conclusion has not yet been further verified, but it has alarmed many big names. For example, Francois Chollet, the father of Keras, said that if the news is true, it will become a big news. A big deal in the modeling world.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Google Transformer is the infrastructure behind today's large models, and the "T" in GPT that we are familiar with refers to it.

A series of large models show strong contextual learning capabilities and can quickly learn examples and complete new tasks.

But now, researchers also from Google seem to have pointed out its fatal flaw - it is powerless beyond the training data, that is, human beings' existing knowledge.

For a time, many practitioners believed that AGI had become out of reach again.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Some netizens pointed out that there are some key details that have been overlooked in the paper. For example, the experiment only involves the scale of GPT-2, and the training data is not rich enough

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

As time goes by, more netizens who have carefully studied this paper pointed out that there is nothing wrong with the research conclusion itself, but people have made excessive interpretations based on it.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

After the paper triggered heated discussions among netizens, one of the authors also publicly made two clarifications:

First of all, the experiment used a simple Transformer is neither a "big" model nor a language model;

Secondly, the model can learn new tasks, but it cannot be generalized tonew types Task

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

After that, another netizen repeated this experiment in Colab, but got completely different results.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

So, let’s first take a look at this paper and what Samuel, who proposed different results, said.

The new function is almost unpredictable

In this experiment, the author used a Jax-based machine learning framework to train a Transformer model close to the size of GPT-2, which only contains the decoder part

This model contains 12 layers, 8 attention heads, the embedding space dimension is 256, and the number of parameters is about 9.5 million

In order to test its generalization ability, the author chose functions as test objects . They input linear functions and sine functions into the model as training data.

These two functions are known to the model at this time, and the prediction results are naturally very good. However, when the researchers put the linear function and Problems arise when convex combinations of sinusoidal functions are performed.

Convexity combination is not that mysterious. The author constructed a function of the form f(x)=a·kx (1-a)sin(x). In our opinion, it is just two functions according to Proportions simply add up.

The reason why we think this is because our brains have this generalization ability, but large-scale models are different

For models that have only learned linear and sine functions, simple The addition looks novel

For this new function, Transformer’s predictions have almost no accuracy (see Figure 4c), so the author believes that the model lacks generalization ability on the function

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

In order to further verify his conclusion, the author adjusted the weight of the linear or sinusoidal function, but even so the prediction performance of Transformer did not change significantly.

There is only one exception - when the weight of one of the items is close to 1, the model's prediction results are more consistent with the actual situation.

If the weight is 1, it means that the unfamiliar new function directly becomes the function that has been seen during training. This kind of data is obviously not helpful to the generalization ability of the model

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Further experiments also showed that Transformer is not only very sensitive to the type of function, but even the same type of function may become unfamiliar conditions.

The researchers found that when changing the frequency of the sine function, even a simple function model, the prediction results will appear to change

Only when the frequency is close to the function in the training data, the model Only when the frequency is too high or too low can a more accurate prediction be given. When the frequency is too high or too low, the prediction results will have serious deviations...

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Accordingly, the author believes that as long as the conditions are slightly It's a little different. I don't know how to do it with a large model. Doesn't this mean that the generalization ability is poor?

The author also describes some limitations in the research and how to apply observations on functional data to tokenized natural language problems.

The team also tried similar experiments on language models but encountered some obstacles. How to properly define task families (equivalent to the types of functions here), convex combinations, etc. have yet to be solved.

However, Samuel’s model is small in scale, with only 4 layers. It can be applied to the combination of linear and sine functions after 5 minutes of training on Colab

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

So what if it cannot be generalized

Based on the comprehensive content of the entire article, Quora CEO’s conclusion in this article is very narrow and can only be established if many assumptions are true

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Sloan Prize winner and UCLA professor Gu Quanquan said that the conclusion of the paper itself is not controversial, but it should not be over-interpreted.

According to previous research, the Transformer model cannot generalize only when faced with content that is significantly different from the pre-training data. In fact, the generalization ability of large models is usually evaluated by the diversity and complexity of tasks

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

If you carefully investigate the generalization ability of Transformer, I am afraid it will take a bullet. Fly for a while longer.

But, even if we really lack generalization ability, what can we do?

NVIDIA AI scientist Jim Fan said that this phenomenon is actually not surprising, because Transformer is not a panacea. The large model performs well because the training data is just right. It's the content we care about.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Jim further added, This is like saying, use 100 billion photos of cats and dogs to train a visual model, and then let the model identify aircraft, and then find, Wow, I really don’t know him.

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

#When humans face some unknown tasks, not only large-scale models may not be able to find solutions. Does this also imply that humans lack generalization ability?

Googles large model research has triggered fierce controversy: the generalization ability beyond the training data has been questioned, and netizens said that the AGI singularity may be delayed.

Therefore, in a goal-oriented process, whether it is a large model or a human, the ultimate goal is to solve the problem, and generalization is only a means

Change this expression into Chinese. Since the generalization ability is insufficient, then train it until there is no data other than the training sample

So, what do you think of this research?

Paper address: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.00871

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