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McKinsey: By around 2045, 50% of jobs will be taken over by AI

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2023-06-16 13:23:53902browse


麦肯锡:到 2045 年左右,将有 50% 工作被 AI 接管

▲ Picture source McKinsey

In this report, McKinsey claimed that "the time for AI to replace human work" has been advanced. , “The new AI adoption scenario considers the development of generative artificial intelligence and simulates the time spent on work activities in 2023. 50% of occupations will be replaced by AI between 2030 and 2060, with a midpoint of 2045, Compared with previous estimates, it has accelerated by about ten years.”

麦肯锡:到 2045 年左右,将有 50% 工作被 AI 接管

▲ Picture source McKinsey

The report also shows that AI is likely to increase the global economy’s annual growth rate The value of “US$2.6 trillion to US$4.4 trillion” is equivalent to the GDP of a new country on earth.

麦肯锡:到 2045 年左右,将有 50% 工作被 AI 接管

▲ Picture source McKinsey

It is said that to prepare this report, McKinsey analysts studied 850 occupations and 2100 people in 47 countries and regions. detailed work activities to arrive at a more accurate judgment.

Alex Sukharevsky, a researcher at McKinsey & Company's artificial intelligence department, said, "AI can make these tasks significantly faster and more accurate than manual execution today. Therefore, the global economy is expected to achieve 0.2 per year % to 3.3% productivity growth.

麦肯锡:到 2045 年左右,将有 50% 工作被 AI 接管

##▲ Picture source McKinsey

However, he also said, “This will force workers to learn new skills, some of which People's careers will have to be changed. If the movement of people and other risks can be managed, generative AI could make a substantial contribution to economic growth and support a more sustainable and inclusive world. "In other words, "Looking at the overall situation, AI is good for the industry, but bad for individuals."

Friends can find the complete content of the report

here.

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