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特朗普的加密愿景推动美元和比特币飙升Nov 06, 2024 pm 03:02 PM
Bitcoin Stock MarketDollar Trump Win

周三美国总统选举初选结果出炉,交易员押注唐纳德·特朗普获胜,导致美元上涨,比特币创下新高。

特朗普的加密愿景推动美元和比特币飙升

周三,美元上涨,比特币创下新高,因为美国总统大选早期结果显示共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普在白宫竞选中击败民主党副总统卡马拉·哈里斯,表现好于预期。

随着有迹象表明这位商业巨头正在缩小安全州的差距,所谓的特朗普贸易加快了步伐,尽管人们普遍预计两位候选人都会获得这些州。

美元被认为可能会受益于特朗普的政党在国会竞选中取得更好的成绩,这一结果对他的减税、征收更多关税和减少政府控制的计划来说是个好兆头。

美元兑日元自7月份以来首次飙升1.5%至154.33日元。兑欧元也上涨超过 1%,兑墨西哥比索也上涨超过 2%。

比特币上涨近 6,000 美元,达到创纪录的 75,005.06 美元,超过了 3 月份创下的 73,797.98 美元的峰值。特朗普在竞选期间承诺让美国成为“比特币和加密货币的世界之都。”

在摇摆不定的州,结果过于接近,难以预测,但早期结果显示特朗普在佐治亚州领先,交易员也在密切关注这些回报。

“乔治亚州提前转红可能是催化剂,”富兰克林邓普顿投资解决方案公司的马克斯·戈克曼 (Max Gokhman) 在谈到早期出口民意调查时表示。

“如果我必须选择一种资产作为特朗普情绪的晴雨表,那我会选择比特币。”

分析人士表示,人们还关注国会竞选,鉴于特朗普的减税和进口关税计划,如果特朗普的政党在竞选中取得成功,他们被认为可能会提振美元和美国国债收益率。

共和党对参议院和众议院的控制“可能会带来全面的支出或税收政策转变。不过,国会僵局可能是最终的波动抑制器,”SPI 资产管理公司的 Stephen Innes 表示。

这样的结果可能会让美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 的事情变得复杂,因为特朗普的计划被视为通胀,鲍威尔仍在努力遏制通胀。

随着选举的展开,央行将于周四做出最新的政策决定。继 9 月份降息 50 个基点之后,大多数人预计降息 25 个基点。

随着美元兑日元走强,东京出口商股票上涨超过 2%。上海、悉尼、首尔、新加坡、惠灵顿、马尼拉和台北股市也上涨,但香港和雅加达股市下跌。

华尔街三大指数在价格走势之前均上涨超过 1%。

选举结果受到世界各地的密切关注,尤其是在中国,因为特朗普对中国商品征收高额关税,与经济强国发动了贸易战。

这次投票正值中国当局开会讨论刺激措施,以支持目前正在应对债务危机的中国庞大的房地产行业,并促进经济增长。

格林尼治标准时间 0300,市场亮点为:

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