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平均盈利指数接近关键阈值,比特币(BTC)等待突破Oct 24, 2024 pm 12:15 PM
bitcoin Profit-Taking Profitability Index

继美联储 9 月份决定降息后,比特币一直波动但主要看涨。

平均盈利指数接近关键阈值,比特币(BTC)等待突破

自美联储于 9 月决定降息以来,比特币价格一直主要看涨。因此,BTC 最近在 69,400 美元的价格点遇到了障碍,并在 66,000 美元附近找到了强劲支撑。这一水平至关重要,可能会决定比特币的下一次价格走势。

根据CryptoQuant的关键数据,比特币平均盈利指数目前为202%,表明价格大约是实现价格的两倍。该指标为预计比特币继续上涨的投资者和交易者提供了信心。

由于盈利能力仍远低于通常会引发大规模获利了结的水平,这表明在出现重大抛售压力之前,比特币还有更大的增长空间。 

许多人认为未来几周至关重要,因为比特币在 66,000 美元以上的强势可能为突破 70,000 美元以上铺平道路,而未能守住这一支撑可能会导致更深的回调。

比特币价格投资者等待反弹

链上分析师 Axel Adler 分享了 CryptoQuant 数据,提供了对比特币当前市场状况的洞察,尽管它可能不会决定未来几天的立即价格走势。由于投资者仍然对 BTC 将继续上涨并挑战历史高点抱有希望,阿德勒在 X 上强调了比特币平均盈利指数。

该指数是市场情绪的重要指标,表明当其超过300%时,往往会促使投资者开始积极获利了结。

该指数为 202%,表明我们可能已达到该临界阈值的一半。这表明,尽管价格仍有很大的升值空间,但我们正在接近获利了结可能盛行的阶段。

一旦平均盈利指数达到 300% 大关,抛售压力可能会加剧,足以引发市场事件,从而可能压低价格。

但是,值得注意的是,与之前的周期顶部相比,平均盈利能力仍然相对较低。这种背景意味着,尽管抛售压力可能增加,但当前的市场情绪可能不会导致急剧下滑,因为许多投资者仍然发现持有头寸的价值。 

总体而言,虽然阿德勒的分析为潜在市场行为提供了宝贵的见解,但比特币的未来价格走势将取决于更广泛的市场动态和投资者在这一不断变化的格局中的情绪。

比特币保持在关键需求水平之上

比特币 (BTC) 在面临 69,400 美元供应水平的拒绝后,目前交易价格为 66,400 美元。价格依然坚挺,维持在关键的 66,000 美元大关之上,这将在决定 BTC 未来几天的走向方面发挥关键作用。

假设 BTC 未能维持此支撑位。在这种情况下,它可能会寻求较低水平的流动性,即 64,000 美元左右,这是一个与 4 小时 200 移动平均线 (MA) 和指数移动平均线 (EMA) 重合的重要价格点。随着交易者寻求趋势逆转确认,这种潜在的下跌可能会引发更大的抛售压力。

另一方面,如果比特币能够成功守住 66,000 美元上方,则为再次尝试 69,000 美元阻力位奠定基础。突破这一水平可能为 BTC 达到 70,000 美元的心理里程碑铺平道路。 

接下来的几个交易日对于衡量市场情绪和投资者行为至关重要,因为交易者在持续的波动中权衡他们的选择。最终,BTC 能否维持当前支撑位将显着影响其价格轨迹,从而使 66,000 美元水平成为未来几天密切关注的关键区域。

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