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首页web3.0市场分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 表示,比特币 (BTC) 可能会经历长达九个月的扩展整合阶段

根据市场分析师 Benjamin Cowen 的说法,比特币的价格可能会经历长达九个月的长期盘整阶段。

市场分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 表示,比特币 (BTC) 可能会经历长达九个月的扩展整合阶段

市场分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 表示,比特币价格可能会持续长达九个月的盘整期。

Cowen 早些时候曾预测 BTC 可能会在短期内盘整,此前他称该加密货币已在今年早些时候达到周期中期顶部。他在 4 月份首次分享了这一分析,并表示比特币将经历 6 到 9 个月的整合。这是一种基于时间的模式,与之前的周期类似。

由于现已达到六个月的最低水平,考恩进一步认为,外部因素(可能是劳动力市场冲击)可能会促使价格进一步下跌。这可能会将比特币价格推向 100 周简单移动平均线 (SMA),从而将盘整期延长至 2025 年。

比特币价格在强劲支撑下从 24 小时低点 60,803 美元回升。随着价格上涨,在 62,465 美元高位遇到阻力。然而,截至发稿时,BTC 价格出现上涨,交易价格为 62,060 美元,较支撑位上涨 2%。

过去几个月,全球经济一直是比特币的主要推动力。美国最新就业数据显示,9月份新增就业岗位25.4万个,超出市场预期,美元地位进一步提升。

到目前为止,比特币与美元之间已被视为成反比关系;因此,当美元走强时,比特币的价格就会下跌。然而,现有的市场环境似乎与这一趋势背道而驰。

“奶昔理论”可能是这一趋势的另一个原因,该理论证实美国利率上升和经济表现更好吸引了外国资本,从而提振了美元。与此同时,对经济放缓的担忧,尤其是日本经济放缓,引发了对进一步经济扩张措施的预期。

即使受到国际货币基金组织(IMF)的反对,萨尔瓦多也没有放弃比特币。国家数字资产委员会 (CNAD) 主席 Juan Carlos Reyes 在一份声明中表示,立法者已批准对 CNAD 法律进行修改。

这些变化使委员会能够监督该国比特币公司的运营。 CNAD 现在将监管萨尔瓦多的比特币生态系统,并在实施基于风险的监管体系的同时对公司进行监管。

在雷耶斯看来,此举使萨尔瓦多走上了成为世界数字资产监管领先国家的道路。该团队将由了解法规的人员和熟悉比特币的人员组成。

尽管国际货币基金组织发出警告,萨尔瓦多似乎仍决心继续其比特币计划。国际货币基金组织通讯部负责人朱莉·科扎克再次强调,国际货币基金组织告诉萨尔瓦多避免过度接触比特币,并加强对这一活动的监管。

不过,加密行业也有人呼吁国家不要理会这样的担忧。

比特币价格在强劲支撑下从 24 小时低点 60,803 美元回升。随着价格上涨,在 62,465 美元高位遇到阻力。然而,截至发稿时,BTC 价格出现上涨,交易价格为 62,060 美元,较支撑位上涨 2%。

BTC/USD价格图表(来源:TradingView)

在 BTCUSD 价格图表上,移动平均线收敛分歧 (MACD) 已移至其信号线上方,表明看涨势头正在增强。

此外,随着柱状图处于正值区域,购买压力正在增加。这一举措是牛市反弹的先兆。此外,Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 处于正值区域,评级为 0.23,支持不断增加的购买压力。

以上是市场分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 表示,比特币 (BTC) 可能会经历长达九个月的扩展整合阶段的详细内容。更多信息请关注PHP中文网其他相关文章!

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