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比特币价格下跌只是因为需求没有增长

链上指标闪现看跌信号,比特币 (BTC) 价格跌破 56,000 美元

过去几周,比特币继续横向交易,比特币的价格现已跌破重要的价格水平。以下是一些链上指标对资产价格轨迹的评价。

比特币价格跌破交易者成本基础水平

正如 CryptoQuant 分析所指出的,一些链上指标目前正在发出对原始加密货币的看跌信号。 “比特币价格下跌仅仅是因为需求没有增长,”分析师指出。

相关阅读|比特币动能指标全部呈现死亡十字:向熊市问好?

为了展示对该资产的需求情况,分析附上了“表观需求”指标的图表,该指标利用链上数据来估计投资者对 BTC 的 30 天需求。

根据该指标,今年早些时候对该资产的需求很高。然而,在 4 月份达到顶峰后,该指标急剧下降至零。

从那时起,表观需求继续在这个中性水平附近盘整,这可能就是加密货币价格一直锁定在整体看跌轨迹中的原因。

分析提到的第二个指标是比特币牛熊市场周期指标。该指标结合了一些与损益相关的 BTC 指标,生成一个总结整个市场的值。

从图中可以看出,从 CryptoQuant 牛熊市场周期指标的角度来看,当该资产的价格创下历史新高 (ATH) 时,该资产就处于历史“过热牛市”区域内。

代币从该顶部冷却下来后,指标闪烁了正常的“牛市”信号,就像一月和二月那样。这些牛市状况一直维持到上月初崩盘。

在这次暴跌期间,BTC跌破50,000美元,牛熊市场周期指标将市场标记为“熊市”。此后,该指标继续围绕过渡边界盘整,在牛市和熊市信号之间来回跳跃。

不过,在过去一周左右的时间里,该指标一直维持在熊市区域内,这可能就是比特币在此窗口中下跌 6% 的原因。

相关阅读|狗狗币是山寨币中交易者损失最严重的:狗狗币很快就会反弹吗?

莫雷诺还指出了值得关注的价格水平,因为 BTC 非常接近重新测试它。所讨论的水平是 BTC 交易者平均成本基础的下限。

目前,这个水平约为 55,500 美元。如果加密货币继续下跌,如何重新测试这一水平还有待观察。

比特币价格

比特币目前的交易价格约为 55,900 美元,这意味着该币非常接近于重新测试交易者的成本基础水平。

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