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比特币仍低于 60,000 美元,并且正在下跌。尽管乐观地认为多头将在未来几天内回流并收复关键阻力位

比特币必须清除这个水平才能让多头接管

在上周多头未能将价格推高至 60,000 美元以上后,比特币价格正在努力维持稳定。现在,X平台的一位分析师认为,除非趋势发生快速转变,否则短期趋势将有利于卖家。根据他的预测,如果多头未能承受巨大的抛售压力,价格将继续下跌。

比特币必须清除该水平才能让多头接管

比特币价格本周开盘积极,周一上午升至 51,000 美元的高位。然而,多头在此水平遇到强劲阻力,价格迅速回落至 49,000 美元下方区域。从周二开始,BTC 一直在 49,000 美元至 51,000 美元区间内波动。

X 的分析师指出,在较短的时间范围内,趋势是看跌的。为了使短期趋势转向有利于买家,价格必须浮动在 68,000 美元以上。考虑到价格从这个反应点开始接近 10,000 美元,对于乐观的交易者来说这可能是一个艰巨的任务。

如果买家未能克服这一阻力趋势线,并且最好升至 72,000 美元以上,分析师认为价格将继续“下跌”。目前,55,000 美元至 60,000 美元之间的反应可能会影响中期轨迹。跌破 55,000 美元可能会引发恐慌性抛售,加速跌向 8 月低点。

比特币价格分析:中期需要关注的关键水平

中期来看,直接支撑线将是 49,000 美元或 8 月低点。在高端,买家必须建立动力并收回 72,000 美元。正是这种价格走势减缓了多头的步伐。因此,该分析师持悲观态度,声称只有当 BTC 升至 68,000 美元以上时,短期趋势才会改变。

然而,从较长的时间范围来看,分析师看好比特币。他认为,价格将持续上涨,直到今年年底,达到 40 万美元的高位。然而,在此过程中会有一段时间的盘整和回调。

关注通胀、美联储和现货 ETF

比特币价格目前较 69,000 美元的历史高点下跌了 40% 以上。尽管恐惧情绪盛行,但分析师预计基本面因素将在未来几周内支撑​​价格。其中最重要的是美国近期通货膨胀的演变。随着这一关键指标的下降,预计美国将在今年 9 月进行两年多以来的首次降息。

如果从 2019 年到 2020 年干预后加密货币价格的扩张来看,比特币价格可能会受益。此外,随着一月份现货比特币ETF获得批准,估值的上升可能会吸引机构的关注。反过来,这又会将代币推向新高;对持有者来说是一个重大的缓解。

根据 Soso Value 的数据,美国现货比特币 ETF 发行商目前管理着价值超过 526 亿美元的比特币。

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