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首页web3.0比特币(BTCUSD)价格下跌反映出与股市的相关性不断增强

周三上午,比特币 (BTCUSD) 大幅下跌至 56,000 美元,反映出英伟达 (NVDA) 大幅下跌导致股市出现更广泛的抛售。

比特币(BTCUSD)价格下跌反映出与股市的相关性不断增强

比特币(BTCUSD)价格周三上午跌至 56,000 美元,反映出以 Nvidia(纳斯达克股票代码:NVDA)为首的股市出现更广泛的抛售。该加密货币后来挽回了部分损失。

由于担忧加剧和市场波动,比特币价格仍然面临压力。

比特币与股市的相关性

最近比特币价格的下跌与纳斯达克和标准普尔 500 等主要股指的抛售密切相关。这种相关性引发了人们对比特币作为传统资产对冲工具的作用的质疑。

历史上被誉为避险资产,与黄金相比,比特币最近显示出与股市的相关性增强。

The Block 数据显示,6 月份比特币与纳斯达克指数的皮尔逊相关性飙升至 0.9,表明比特币与股市走势之间存在很强的相关性。

虽然此后这种相关性略有下降,但仍保持在 0.5 以上,而比特币与黄金的相关性已有些倒挂。

比特币 ETF、美联储政策的影响

今年早些时候,在现货比特币 ETF 的批准和比特币减半事件的推动下,加密货币市场出现了乐观情绪,推动比特币价格在 3 月份升至超过 73,000 美元的高位。

然而,美联储的货币政策决策现在在比特币的价格轨迹中发挥着至关重要的作用。

随着美联储提高利率以对抗通货膨胀,美国国债的收益率上升,使其比比特币等风险较高的资产更具吸引力。分析师表示,随着收益率下降,降息可能有利于比特币和其他风险资产。

但加密货币交易所 Bitfinex 的专家预见到比特币将面临挑战,预计如果美联储本月晚些时候实施更激进的降息,比特币将出现 15%-20% 的抛售。

他们指出,尽管在美联储鸽派言论预期的推动下,自 8 月初以来,比特币已飙升超过 32%,但大幅降息可能会导致短期价格飙升,随后由于经济衰退担忧升级,可能会出现回调。

展望未来

在最新的交易中,比特币的价值超过 58,000 美元。虽然加密货币表现出了弹性,但持续的市场波动和宏观经济因素(包括美联储政策)的变化可能会影响其未来的表现。

对于投资者和市场观察者来说,了解比特币和传统金融市场之间的相互作用至关重要。随着加密货币市场应对这些挑战,了解更广泛的经济指标和政策变化对于制定战略投资决策至关重要。

密切关注金融分析师和市场专家的最新动态,以评估比特币和其他加密货币在不断变化的经济状况下将如何表现。

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