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比特幣鯨魚上漲,比特幣選擇權到期暗示看漲情緒Oct 27, 2024 am 04:02 AM
bitcoin Ethereum ATH Options expire Mixed Sentiments

根據 Greeks.live 的數據,10 月 25 日的加密貨幣選擇權到期對比特幣 [BTC] 和以太坊 [ETH] 產生了不同的結果。

比特幣鯨魚上漲,比特幣選擇權到期暗示看漲情緒

10 月 25 日的加密選擇權到期日,比特幣 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 的結果各不相同,正如 Greeks.live 的數據所強調的那樣。

這次到期事件的總價值為 52.8 億美元,展示了兩種領先加密貨幣投資者行為的對比。

BTC 選擇權到期

10月25日,共有63,000份比特幣選擇權合約到期,賣權與買權比率為0.66,顯示交易者整體看漲情緒。

該比率突顯出看漲期權的數量超過了看跌期權的數量,表明交易者在很大程度上預期價格上漲。

此外,最大痛點(最大數量的選擇權將到期而毫無價值)記錄為 64,000 美元。

到期時,比特幣交易價格約為 67,000 美元,已從近期高點 68,000 美元回落。然而,BTC 仍接近 7 萬美元的歷史高點。

比特幣的隱含波動率(IV)(截至11 月8 日)穩定在55%,這為交易者提供了潛在的機會,因為他們將美國大選考慮在內,預計美國大選將帶來重大的市場變化。

比特幣鯨魚的崛起

與看漲情緒一致,Santiment 的最新數據顯示過去兩週比特幣鯨魚的數量增加。

在此期間,共新增297個持有至少100 BTC的新錢包,成長1.93%,使此類錢包總數達到16,338個。

從歷史上看,大量比特幣持有者的增加往往與價格持續上漲勢頭的時期同時發生,這表明比特幣有進一步上漲的潛力。

鯨魚地址的增加與比特幣最近的價格走勢相對應,比特幣短暫突破 68,000 美元,然後小幅回調至 67,000 美元。

鯨魚的累積可能表明大型投資者的持續興趣,可能會在 11 月預期的市場波動之前增強比特幣的彈性。

ETH 選擇權到期

與 BTC 選擇權到期同時,共有 403,426 個以太坊選擇權合約也於 10 月 25 日到期。

ETH 選擇權的看跌期權比率為 0.97,反映出看漲和看跌頭寸之間的情緒幾乎平衡。

最大痛苦點設定為 2,600 美元,表示最多數量的選擇權將到期時毫無價值的價格。

在撰寫本文時,ETH 的交易價格為 2,468 美元,接近其最大痛苦點,表明價格變動有限。

過期 ETH 選擇權的名義價值達 10.2 億美元,凸顯了以太坊的重要市場地位,儘管與比特幣相比,其表現仍然更加停滯。

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