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首頁網路3.0比特幣有望創下創紀錄的橫盤走勢,將 11 月選舉視為看漲催化劑
比特幣有望創下創紀錄的橫盤走勢,將 11 月選舉視為看漲催化劑Oct 11, 2024 pm 09:06 PM
bitcoin Bullish Catalyst Sideways Action November Elections

比特幣無聊的價格走勢,其特點是小投資者持續積累,有幾個原因。包括美國大選的不確定性和美國公債殖利率的重新上升。

比特幣有望創下創紀錄的橫盤走勢,將 11 月選舉視為看漲催化劑

比特幣價格走勢乏味,其特點是小投資者持續增持,這是由多種原因造成的,包括美國大選的不確定性和美國國債收益率的重新上漲。

「債券殖利率上升和SPX 創歷史新高正在幫助推高美元,但這是以犧牲加密貨幣為代價的,比特幣再次回到60k 左右的水平徘徊,」Augustine Fan 負責人SOFA 的見解,週五在Telegram 消息中告訴CoinDesk。

「最後,已解散的Mt. Gox 最新宣布將還款期限延長一年至2025 年10 月,這可能有助於緩解短期的部分供應壓力,但BTC 似乎將處於持有模式進入選舉的最後幾週,」範補充道。

共和黨候選人川普被視為對加密貨幣友善。他與一個名為「世界自由金融」的新去中心化金融計畫有關,而民主黨被認為對市場不太友善。人們普遍預期共和黨的勝利將推動比特幣更大規模的走勢。

市場經常進入橫盤階段,交易者和投資者重新評估他們的頭寸,從而導致買賣壓力之間的平衡。

CoinDesk 市場分析師 Omkar Godbole 表示,比特幣需要突破並保持在 69,000 美元上方,才能被視為看漲突破當前區間。突破意味著從 2023 年 10 月低點恢復更廣泛的上升趨勢,並將焦點轉移到 10 萬美元,這是選擇交易者預期的水平。

橫盤運動可以解釋為累積期(投資者慢慢買入供應,而價格沒有太大變動)或分配期(他們以類似的受控方式出售所持股份)。這通常會導致一段時期的高波動性。

比特幣正走出八月和九月的季節性看跌期(投資人沒有採取大動作),進入歷史性看漲的十月。 CoinDesk 分析顯示 10 月的大部分漲幅出現在下半月——通常是 10 月 16 日之後。

但市場壓力依然存在。美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 本週稍早連續幾天對多家做市商和交易公司提出指控,引發了人們對加密貨幣市場是否可能在 11 月大選前幾週面臨更多熱度的猜測。

(Omkar Godbole 貢獻了見解。)

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