比特幣(BTC)避免死亡交叉後進入復甦模式，漲勢能否持續？

比特幣（BTC）和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場已進入復甦模式，在本週早些時候出現不祥的技術訊號後，比特幣領先。

比特幣 (BTC) 價格於 8 月 12 日飆升，迅速從本週早些時候引發擔憂的死亡交叉信號中恢復過來。 BTC 的反彈始於 8 月 8 日晚些時候，從盤中低點 57,000 美元攀升至當前水平，從本週早些時候的大幅下跌至 49,800 美元，反彈了 25%。

根據幣安的數據，週五上午亞洲交易時段，BTC 升至日內高點 62,790 美元，過去 12 小時大幅上漲 9.5%。在面臨這一水平的阻力後，該資產在撰寫本文時小幅回撤至 61,800 美元。

Bitcoin’s recent surge comes on the heels of a death cross, a technical analysis indicator that occurs when a short-term moving average falls below a longer-term moving average, typically the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). This signal is often associated with bearish trend reversals, but it doesn’t always lead to extended downturns.

On August 9, ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen shared his analysis on YouTube, noting that Bitcoin will likely rally into its death cross. This prediction has since materialized, with BTC’s price showing a strong recovery after the cross.

Cowen also highlighted that a similar pattern occurred in 2023, where BTC started its rally just after a death cross, eventually climbing above its 50-day SMA and holding it as support before moving higher. However, Cowen also pointed out that the durability of the current rally will depend on Bitcoin maintaining support above $62,000.

While Bitcoin’s recent surge is a positive sign, the question remains whether this rally can be sustained. Analysts have pointed out that while the first death cross is often not a major concern, it’s the second one that could signal more significant bearish trends. During the 2021 bull market, Bitcoin experienced two death crosses: the first was followed by a strong rally, but the second led to a prolonged bear market.

For now, Bitcoin traders and investors will be watching closely to see if BTC can maintain its momentum and hold above key support levels. Should Bitcoin manage to stay above its 50-day SMA, it could pave the way for further gains. However, a failure to hold these levels could result in a retracement, possibly leading to increased market volatility.

Bitcoin’s rally has also positively impacted the broader cryptocurrency market. Total market capitalization has gained 6% over the day, rising to $2.2 trillion. However, the market needs to reclaim the $2.5 trillion mark to fully erase the losses experienced earlier in the week.

Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has also shown signs of recovery. ETH prices rose by 9% during the day, reaching a peak of $2,700 during the Asian trading session before cooling slightly to trade at $2,630 at the time of writing.

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