


SoftBank Masayoshi Son: Super artificial intelligence will be achieved in the next 20 years, 10,000 times more intelligent than human beings [With analysis of the global artificial intelligence industry]
The original text has been rewritten into Chinese, and the original sentence does not need to appear again
According to relevant media reports, Masayoshi Son, founder and CEO of the Japanese giant SoftBank Group, once again reiterated his positive outlook for AI technology. At the SoftBank World Corporate Conference in Tokyo, Japan, Masayoshi Son gave a speech saying that as a kind of "AI that surpasses human intelligence in almost all fields", General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) will become a reality within 10 years. Sun Zhengyi also mentioned the concept of Super Artificial Intelligence (ASI, Artificial super-intelligence) in his speech, said that it will be realized within 20 years and will be 1 higher than human intelligence. Ten thousand times.
However, Sun Zhengyi also mentioned the need to regulate AI: "Just like social regulations for the use of cars, AI should be regulated. Cars are convenient but also dangerous, and From a certain perspective, AI may be more dangerous than nuclear bombs."
With the continuous advancement of technology and the continuous expansion of application scenarios, artificial intelligence has been widely used in various industries. The application of AI in medical, financial, retail and other fields has achieved remarkable results. It is predicted that the artificial intelligence market will continue to expand in the next few years. At the same time, the development of artificial intelligence technology has also brought about a series of challenges and controversies, such as data privacy, employment and other issues.
Currently global artificial intelligence is in its third development climax
Artificial intelligence has a development history of more than 60 years. Its concept was first proposed at the Dartmouth Conference in the United States in 1956. It has experienced three waves of development since its birth. Artificial intelligence is currently in its third development climax, benefiting from the common progress in algorithms, data and computing power.
——The global artificial intelligence industry is huge
Various products based on artificial intelligence technology replace humans in simple and repetitive physical or mental work in various fields, greatly improving production efficiency and quality of life, and also promoting the development and transformation of various industries. The scale of the global artificial intelligence industry continues to grow, but the growth rate has slowed down in 2020 due to the impact of the epidemic.
According to data released by IDC, the size of the global artificial intelligence market in 2020 will increase by 12.3% compared with 2019, reaching US$156.5 billion. IDC said that although the global AI market has been affected by the epidemic, investment in the artificial intelligence market will recover quickly.
By 2030, China’s artificial intelligence output value will surpass other countries in the world and occupy the first place in global GDP
Although there is a certain gap between China and the United States in terms of artificial intelligence technology, the international community is more optimistic about the development of China's artificial intelligence industry. According to PwC’s predictions, China will reap the greatest benefits from artificial intelligence in the next ten years. By 2030, the output value of artificial intelligence will account for 26.1% of GDP, while North America and Western Europe will account for 14.5% of each country’s GDP. and 11.5%
Bai Chunli, former president of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said that the next 5-10 years will be a critical period for the development of artificial intelligence. It is predicted that the scale of my country's core artificial intelligence industry will exceed 1 trillion yuan in 2030, and the scale of the global artificial intelligence market will reach 16 trillion US dollars in 2030. There is still a lot of development potential and space.
Regarding the development trend of artificial intelligence in the future, Bai Chunli believes that there is a large "no man's land" in the fields of basic theory and key technology, and application systems will evolve in a more "intelligent" direction. Competition will become the focus of contention. Currently, major developed countries regard the development of artificial intelligence as a major strategy to enhance national competitiveness and safeguard national security, and strive to take the lead in international scientific and technological competition.
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