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Will 2023 be the first year of AI? The opportunities and challenges behind the popularity of ChatGPT

王林
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2023-04-13 08:25:021184browse

Will 2023 be the first year of AI? The opportunities and challenges behind the popularity of ChatGPT

More than a month ago, ChatGPT was just a chat tool, but in 2023, the technology circle has been repeatedly flooded by ChatGPT, and its popularity has only increased, and even " "Out of the circle".

Data shows that in just 2 months since its launch, the monthly active users of the AI ​​chatbot ChatGPT are close to 100 million. A research report on ChatGPT released by UBS on February 1 stated that this is the 20th anniversary of the development of the Internet field. The fastest growing consumer application in recent years.

This increase is also the fastest growth rate for C-end users since the birth of artificial intelligence. In the past, artificial intelligence C-end products were ridiculed as "artificially retarded", and people forgot about them after trying them once or twice. Even if artificial intelligence is implemented on the B side, it has only achieved small-scale commercialization in fields such as security, safety, and finance. Now, 100 million users have expressed high enthusiasm for ChatGPT.

ChatGPT makes capital crazy

On November 30, 2022, OpenAI released a news article that can be read in 13 minutes, announcing their new conversational artificial intelligence service, named: ChatGPT, since then ChatGPT has become the hottest topic in the artificial intelligence industry.

Simply put, ChatGPT is a language model that is trained to model conversations. It can conduct conversations by learning and understanding human language, and can also interact according to the context of the chat, truly chatting and communicating like humans, and can even complete tasks such as writing emails, video scripts, copywriting, translation, and coding.

It is understood that ChatGPT uses a neural network architecture called Transformer, which is a model for processing sequence data that can capture long-term dependencies in the input sequence. It also trains the model using a large corpus of real-world conversations so that the model can better understand human language.

As soon as ChatGPT was released, the investment community and scientific community around the world paid attention to artificial intelligence and related industries suddenly became popular, and it quickly became a hot search list.

The last time the AI ​​industry was so lively, Alpha Go defeated Lee Sedol. Abroad, the AI ​​track represented by ChatGPT has become a hot topic. Microsoft is conducting investment negotiations of US$10 billion with OpenAI, the parent company of ChatGPT. If the deal is completed, OpenAI's valuation will reach US$29 billion. Google released the chatbot Sparrow, and Meta launched BlenderBot. Those entering the market are optimistic about this direction. In the words of Microsoft founder Bill Gates, "ChatGPT gives us a glimpse of what is about to happen. This technology and its speed of innovation are both impressive."

风口On top of that, there is already a debate about "Will ChatGPT replace Google?" According to the New York Times, Google executives were worried about losing their dominance in search and even issued a “red alert” in response to the impact of ChatGPT. The stock prices of U.S. companies related to ChatGPT are rising sharply. For example, the U.S. version of "Today's Toutiao" BuzzFeed announced that it will cooperate with OpenAI to write articles. As soon as the news came out, the stock price soared 119% that day. ChatGPT’s competing companies are also favored by the market. Claude, a chatbot that has not yet been officially launched, received US$300 million in financing during the testing phase, with a valuation of US$5 billion.

On January 23, Microsoft announced an additional investment of billions of dollars in OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, to support OpenAI’s research, bringing OpenAI’s latest valuation to $29 billion. Not only that, Microsoft also plans to integrate it into a series of products such as Bing search engine, Office family bucket, Azure cloud service, Teams chat program and so on.

On January 26, the American digital media company BuzzFeed announced plans to use artificial intelligence technology provided by ChatGPT developer OpenAI to assist in the creation of personalized content. As soon as the news came out, BuzzFeed's stock price surged more than 300%, with trading volume exceeding 438 million shares. Volume exceeded 485 million shares this month, compared with its previous monthly average of less than 25 million shares.

In fact, ChatGPT is not OpenAI’s first globally popular artificial intelligence application. In 2021, OpenAI's text generation image system DALL-E became popular. However, compared with "give instructions and generate paintings", the fun and usability of chatbots obviously have greater room for improvement, especially in the business field.

Will 2023 be the first year of AI?

Currently, the functions of ChatGPT have been integrated into Microsoft’s Bing search engine. This may improve search accuracy, provide better personalization, and create a better user experience through features such as remembering historical conversations, allowing the "weak" Bing search engine to challenge its 92% cross-platform search market share Google search.

Compared to Microsoft, which is more aggressive, Baidu is more like taking the initiative to "seek change." Although it has been the number one search engine in China for nearly 20 years, other technology companies have not stopped competing for this traffic entrance. . In today's globalized world, Baidu also needs to keep up with the times to avoid losing this trump card.

Recently, McKinsey released the "2022 Global AI Survey and 5-Year Review", which showed that only 20% of organizations said they applied AI in 2017, and this increased to 50% in 2022. Overall, organizations’ use of AI has more than doubled in five years. 63% of respondents said they expect their organizations to increase investment in AI over the next three years.

"Web3 is not that important, ​​ Metaverse​​ is not revolutionary, artificial intelligence is the most important." - Bill Gates stated this in a reply to netizens this month His attitude also shows the current attitude of technology giants: In 2023, when the global economic situation is still unclear, it is time for a more mature technology to take over and tell more moving technology stories.

Although it is popular, there are also controversies

While ChatGPT became popular, controversies also continued to arise. Opposition continues to emerge in education and academia.

On January 5, the New York City Department of Education stated that the use of ChatGPT will be banned on all devices and networks in New York public schools. Jenna Lyle, a spokesperson for the New York City Department of Education, noted that the decision was based on "concerns that the tool may have a negative impact on student learning, as well as the safety and accuracy of its content."

At the end of January, the authoritative academic publishing organization Nature also made regulations for ChatGPT. Nature stipulates that large models such as ChatGPT cannot be listed as authors. If relevant tools have been used in the creation of the paper, the author should clearly state this in the "Methods" or "Acknowledgments" or appropriate section.

As of February, anti-ChatGPT products have also appeared. Researchers at Stafford University in the United States launched DetectGPT to detect AI-generated text. Another anti-ChatGPT product, GPTZero, was upgraded at the end of January and had 400,000 visits and 2.2 million service requests in one day. This product can figure out in a few seconds whether the text was written by humans or AI.

Cognitive scientist Gary Marcus believes that ChatGPT has two core problems: the neural network is "neither reliable nor realistic." Google's artificial intelligence researchers admitted in a recent paper that simply scaling up models won't succeed. Expansion alone will not lead to "improvements in safety and fact-based evidence." Much of the skepticism and criticism of ChatGPT boils down to comparing it to humans, when in fact large language models are not capable of thinking like humans.

Written at the end

In fact, every time a new technology enters our lives, it is always accompanied by excitement and doubts. In fact, the capital, technology, talents, resources, etc. required by the artificial intelligence industry are very large, and it is definitely not something that small companies can support. If they want to win in the end, and have the last laugh, it is most likely those powerful giants.

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