Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Strategy on May 15, 2025

Under the current market environment, the price of Bitcoin remains around $103,000, and the overall performance is high-level box oscillation. Recently, market sentiment is relatively sensitive. Once the price falls below $103,000, some investors begin to expect a sharp drop; and when the price hits above $105,500, some investors expect a surge. This kind of thinking model of chasing ups and selling downs is not uncommon in the currency circle, but it is obviously unfavorable for long-term survival and returns. Investors need to learn to be friendly with trends, be enemies with themselves, and abandon emotional operations in order to be invincible in the currency circle.

Judging from the daily chart, the price of Bitcoin returns to above the support point of the golden section 0.786, which is $102,400. As long as this support point is not effectively broken, investors can consider conducting long positions trials. If the price effectively falls below $102,400, you should stop the loss and leave the market in time and do not resist orders. The current average price of trial positions is around US$103,000 for your reference. EMA trend indicators show upward diffusion openings, and EMA15 trend fast line support continues to stretch upward, which is expected to provide support for the K-line around $101,000. Before this, Bitcoin was difficult to break through the previous high and is expected to continue to maintain a high box market. The MACD indicator shows that the top divergence trend has not ended yet, DIF and DEA have contracted, coupled with the formation of the Bollinger band ascending channel, the K-line is hindered by the upper rail pressure level of $106,300, and the probability of sideways increases in the short term.

Judging from the four-hour chart, the K-line pattern is more obvious. The price has been running at the top of the EMA trend indicator, the bulls have begun to shrink, and the top pressure has shifted downward trend. MACD continuously shrinks and increases holdings, DIF and DEA are close to the 0 axis, and the top divergence pattern has spread to the mid-line level trend. Bollinger bands are sideways, the upper track is $105,200, and the lower track is $101,800. Before the box is effectively broken, investors can refer to the long and short entry points in the box to operate, but remember to bring a stop loss and not resist the order.

Short-term trading strategy:

There is no absolute certainty in the current market, so it is the primary principle to bring good stop loss, safety first, and small losses and big profits are the goal. Especially when the key pressure and support levels are broken, it is necessary to stop losses in a timely manner and should not resist orders.

• Northbound trial position: entry point is 103,000 to $102,500, defensive position is 102,000, stop loss is 500 points, and the target is 104,000 to $104,500. If it breaks further, it can be seen 105,000.
• Southbound trial position: entry point is 105,000 to 105,500 US dollars, defensive position is 105,800 US dollars, stop loss is 500 points, and the target is 103,000 to 102,500 US dollars. If it breaks further, it can be seen 102,000 US dollars.

The specific operation should be based on real-time trading data. There may be delays in the publication of the article. It is recommended that it be for reference only. Investors must bear the risks at their own expense.

Summary and risk warning:

The fundamental thing about trading is survival, followed by returns. Before each operation, be sure to think about whether your operation is reasonable and whether the principal is safe. Forming a set of your own trading ideas and constantly optimizing and improving them is the key to long-term survival in the currency circle. We hope that investors can achieve financial freedom in 2025 and work together.

The above is the detailed content of Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Strategy on May 15, 2025. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!