'Minecraft' Will Double Its Box Office Projections, May Pass Mario

The Minecraft Movie is massively exceeding box office expectations, driven by enthusiastic Gen Alpha and Gen Z audiences. Initial projections estimated a $50-$80 million domestic and $65 million international opening weekend, totaling $135-$150 million globally. However, early numbers show a $55 million domestic gross on Thursday and Friday alone, with projections now exceeding $130 million domestically for the entire weekend. This could potentially surpass The Super Mario Bros. Movie's $146 million opening, setting a new record for video game movie openings.

While critics gave the film mixed reviews, audiences are overwhelmingly positive, giving it an 86% audience score—significantly higher than the critics' score. This mirrors the success of The Super Mario Bros. Movie. The film's success highlights the significant market power of young audiences passionate about video games, a factor that previously fueled the unexpected successes of Sonic the Hedgehog and Five Nights at Freddy's. With the strong domestic opening and promising international potential, the Minecraft Movie is well-positioned to achieve the billion-dollar box office success few predicted, likely leading to sequels. The enduring popularity of Minecraft, the best-selling video game franchise ever with 300 million copies sold, underscores the film's potential, despite Steve's lower profile compared to Mario. The enthusiastic audience response, filled with cheers and applause for in-film references and memes, proves the underestimated power of youthful video game fandom.

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