When will the Dogecoin ETF be released?

As of March 2025, Dogecoin ETF has not been approved because: 1) No large institutions have submitted applications, 2) The SEC is cautious about high-volatility cryptocurrencies, 3) The market has limited interest in Dogecoin ETF, 4) If there is an application, the approval may take 12-24 months, 5) Facing regulatory, liquidity and competitive challenges, 6) Pay attention to institutional trends, SEC policies and Musk trends, 7) Dogecoin futures ETFs or overseas exchanges can be considered, and it is recommended to continue to pay attention to SEC, crypto media and DOGE community trends.

As of March 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF has not yet had a clear approval schedule, and no large financial institutions (such as BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, etc.) have officially submitted applications to the US SEC (SEC). The following is a key point analysis:

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1. Current progress of Dogecoin ETF

• No formal application yet:

  • Unlike the Bitcoin Spot ETF (approved) and the Ethereum ETF (which enters the review stage in 2024), no well-known institutions have submitted applications for the Dogecoin ETF.

  • The SEC is extremely cautious in approving ETFs for high volatility and Meme cryptocurrencies, and Dogecoin lacks the status of Bitcoin/Ethereum as a "mainstream asset".

• Limited market interest:

  • At present, institutional investors are more concerned about public chain tokens such as Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, and Dogecoin's ETF demand has not yet formed a scale.

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2. Possible future approval timelines (assuming that application is submitted)

If an institution (such as Grayscale, ARK Invest, etc.) applies for Dogecoin ETF in the future, referring to the approval process of Bitcoin ETF, you may need to go through:

• A 12-24-month review period (SEC needs to evaluate market manipulation risks, liquidity, custody plans, etc.).

• Public comment period (usually 3-6 months).

• Final approval or rejection (political factors, market environment may affect the results).

Optimistic estimates: If an institution submits an application within 2025, the results may be released from the end of 2026 to 2027 as early as the end of 2026 to 2027.

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3. Key challenges in the approval of Dogecoin ETF

• Regulatory resistance: The SEC believes that Dogecoin lacks actual use cases and its price is easily manipulated (such as Musk's tweets).

• Liquidity risk: Compared with Bitcoin/Ethereum, DOGE's institutional holding ratio is low, and the derivatives market is immature.

• Competitive pressure: SEC may prioritize Ethereum spot ETFs, and Dogecoin ETFs are scheduled to be lower.

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4. Signals to be paid attention to

• Institutional trends: Sudden submission of DOGE ETF applications by BlackRock, Grayscale, etc. will greatly increase market expectations.

• SEC policy changes: If the US cryptocurrency regulatory framework (such as the division of CFTC/SEC jurisdiction) is clear, approval may be accelerated.

• Musk/X platform integration: If Dogecoin is included in the X (Twitter) payment ecosystem, it may enhance its "practicality" narrative.

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5. Alternative options

If you are eager to invest in Dogecoin through traditional financial markets, you can pay attention to:

• Dogecoin Futures ETFs (such as ProShares may be launched, but with higher volatility).

• Canadian/European Exchange: Some overseas platforms may launch DOGE-related derivatives sooner.

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Summarize

The probability of Dogecoin ETF being approved in the short term (2025) is extremely low, and it needs to wait for the institutional application and the change in regulatory attitude. It is recommended to continue to pay attention to:

1. SEC official website (www.sec.gov )

2. Cryptocurrency Media (CoinDesk, The Block)

3. Musk and DOGE Community News (X Platform).

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