Ethereum's price action has been dominated by bearish sentiment, with the cryptocurrency shedding over 38% of its value in just three weeks.
Ethereum (ETH) price bottomed at around $1,754 on Friday, marking its third consecutive losing week. As trade volumes shrink and technical indicators point to oversold conditions, historical patterns suggest that a substantial rebound could be in the making.
Ethereum (ETH) Price Bottoms As Bearish Grip Loosens
Bearish market conditions have dominated Ethereum’s price action, with the cryptocurrency plummeting more than 38% in just three weeks. As evident in the chart above, ETH’s decline began from last month’s peak at $2,857, finally reaching a low of $1,754 last week. Despite a slight 3% rebound, the cryptocurrency is still facing downward pressure, as evidenced by the continued decline in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) from overbought to oversold territory.
Moreover, another 3% drop was recorded at 07:00 UTC on Friday, setting the stage for a potential rebound. However, this prolonged downtrend has also created a unique opportunity, as it closely resembles previous cycles, where deep corrections were followed by significant recoveries.
Throughout its history, Ethereum has demonstrated a strong tendency to rebound after multi-week losing streaks. The last time ETH saw three consecutive weekly declines of this magnitude was in July 2024, which was quickly followed by a 93% surge over the next three months.
Now, as the cryptocurrency navigates oversold territory, the volume indicators suggest a potential shift. With decreasing sell-side pressure, the stage could be set for an upcoming relief rally.
If ETH follows its previous pattern, a rebound toward the $3,400 level could materialize in the coming months. However, traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as a breakout above the Keltner Channel or a bullish crossover in the MACD indicator. Failure to regain momentum could extend the current bearish trend.
3 Bearish Risks to Keep in Mind
Ethereum’s price recently bottomed at $1,754, marking its third consecutive week of decline—an occurrence not seen since July 2024. While this signals a classic oversold market condition, several major events in the coming week could slow down ETH’s rebound prospects.
Pectra Upgrade Developments: Ethereum developers have launched a new testnet, Hoodi, to rigorously test the upcoming Pectra upgrade before its mainnet deployment. While this move aims to enhance network stability and could bode well for long-term prospects, any uncertainty surrounding the upgrade’s immediate impact could keep a lid on investor enthusiasm.
Furthermore, the announcement of the Pectra upgrade triggered significant staking withdrawals, with around $500 million reportedly pulled out by investors. If this trend of investor caution persists, it could dull short-term rebound prospects and limit upside momentum.
Doubts Around Strategic Crypto Reserve Proposals: Former President Trump’s proposal to include Ethereum and other altcoins in a strategic Crypto Reserve has sparked debate. JP Morgan recently expressed skepticism about Trump securing congressional approval to allocate treasury funds for acquiring Ripple (XRP), Ethereum (ETH), and other altcoins.
Investors will be closely monitoring fresh developments on this front, as uncertainty could introduce more volatility and affect the cryptocurrency’s price action.
Ethereum Market Outlook for the Week
Despite oversold conditions that could attract heavy inflows, especially if the upcoming U.S. Fed rate decision leans dovish, any overhang from the aforementioned bearish catalysts could stiffen bullish momentum.
This explains why ETH price has underperformed relative to rival Layer-1 assets like Ripple (XRP) and Litecoin (LTC) over the weekend. If these dynamics persist, traders can expect ETH to continue lagging behind the broader market, even in a bullish environment.
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