Bitcoin's limited supply makes it appealing as an inflation hedge, but its volatility limits it as a true alternative to central banks.
As inflation continues to impact economies around the world, people are turning to various assets to hedge against rising prices. Among the options are Bitcoin, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and gold. But how do these assets fare in the face of inflation, and which one might be the best choice for investors?
To understand the role of Bitcoin in the context of central banks, it's important to first grasp the functions of central banks in an economy. Central bank policy decisions significantly influence the global financial system. For instance, the Federal Reserve in the United States is entrusted with controlling inflation and maintaining maximum sustainable employment. Another example is the Bank of England, which ensures the stability and solvency of the financial system in the United Kingdom.
Central banks employ diverse strategies, collectively known as monetary policy, to fulfill their mandates. A primary tactic involves manipulating the money supply and interest rates. For example, a central bank might increase or decrease the amount of money circulating in an economy.
A key advantage of central banks is that they instill trust in the system. A currency issued by a central bank is backed by a trusted authority and can be exchanged at a universal value. In contrast, if each party involved in a monetary transaction were to issue their own coins, it would lead to competition among the currencies, ultimately creating chaos.
On the other hand, Bitcoin operates on a decentralized system and a decentralized peer-to-peer ledger, aiming to become a globally accepted payment method and revolutionize people’s access to finances and financial services. However, most governments do not control or recognize it, and central banks cannot influence it.
This disparity in governance raises questions among some who favor removing the influence and regulatory stances governments have on currencies, while others maintain that cryptocurrency is not a viable replacement for government-backed currency. So, is it possible that Bitcoin could replace central banks and fiat currencies? Let's delve deeper to gain a better understanding.
The problem with the structure described above is that it places far too much trust and responsibility on the decisions of a central agency. In the interconnected nature of the global economy, the policymaking decisions and errors by one central bank are transmitted across many countries.
What’s the difference between CBDCs and cryptocurrency?
The main difference between a CBDC and a cryptocurrency is that a CBDC is – as its name implies – issued by a central bank. “CBDCs are direct liabilities of the central bank, just as paper cash is,” adds the Harvard Business Review, which makes CBDCs a safer form of digital money than commercial bank-issued digital money.
Cryptocurrencies are not issued by governments or other financial institutions. Instead, they are digital currencies exchanged between people and various entities on a decentralized system. Crypto is not backed up by a central public authority or within the banking system, it is not considered legal tender and users are not protected from price volatility or theft because of hacking, or when crypto firms collapse.
Institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have highlighted the potential benefits of CBDCs, which include enhancing financial inclusion, boosting economic growth, and facilitating cross-border payments. However, the IMF also notes that CBDCs come with risks, such as the potential for disintermediation of the banking sector and the need for robust legal frameworks to govern their issuance and use.
Cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, are largely unregulated and decentralized, making them a riskier investment option compared to CBDCs. However, cryptocurrencies also offer higher potential returns, which makes them attractive to some investors.
Cryptocurrencies are a hot topic in the world of finance, and they are often touted as a way to get rich quick. But how do cryptocurrencies actually perform in the face of inflation?
Largely driven by institutional investments, the cryptocurrency has become increasingly aligned with general market movements, which means that when the market goes down, Bitcoin likely goes down as well.
Therefore, when news of inflation strikes, policy interest rates will go up, and there will be monetary tightening. As a result, assets including crypto like Bitcoin will see a price decline.
Notably, cryptocurrencies also experience inflation, even Bitcoin, which is often seen as “inflation-resistant.” However, as mining for new Bitcoin is automatically reduced by 50% every four years, inflation rates also decrease eventually.
Although Bitcoin is more volatile than gold, it offers better long-term growth prospects and therefore protects against inflation.
But how?
Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a good inflation hedge. One key to making an asset resistant to inflation is scarcity. Because Bitcoin has a limited supply, it remains scarce, thereby ensuring that its value will remain steady over time, which is why it is dubbed “digital gold.”
Bitcoin, like gold, does not belong to any single entity, economy or currency. Bitcoin is a better option than equities because it does not have to deal with the many economic and political risks associated with stock markets.
Much like gold, Bitcoin is durable, easily interchangeable, scarce and secure. Bitcoin has
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