Polymarket Data Shows Donald Trump Loses Majority In Swing States Ahead of Election Results

As per the data from Polymarket, Donald Trump’s chances of a presidential victory dropped by a strong 4.5% just three days before the announcement of the results.

According to data from Polymarket, Donald Trump's chances of winning the presidency dropped significantly just three days before the election results were announced. This caused Bitcoin and altcoins in the broader cryptocurrency market to pause any directional moves until the situation became clearer.

Trump's Victory Odds Drop Sharply

Throughout last week, former President Trump maintained strong victory odds of over 60%, according to Polymarket data. However, on Friday evening, these numbers dropped by 4 percentage points. At 58.1% now, Donald Trump still has a 16 percentage point lead over his opponent, Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.

The two states where Harris is once again gaining ground on Trump are Wisconsin and Michigan. However, he maintains a strong lead in other states such as Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Georgia.

Latest Swing State Odds (% chance of winning)

? Arizona • Trump 76% – Harris 24%

? Georgia • Trump 72% – Harris 28%

? Pennsylvania • Trump 57% – Harris 43%

? Nevada • Trump 63% – Harris 37%

? Wisconsin • Trump 49% – Harris 51%

? Michigan • Trump 42% – Harris 58%… pic.twitter.com/L3bToKaSwC

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 1, 2024

Over the last two days alone, Donald Trump's winning percentage numbers have dropped by ten odd percentage points. Investors have already placed huge bets on Donald Trump's rising victory odds throughout the last month. This recent shift could cause some nervousness among the investor community.

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