Bitcoin (BTC) continued to attract attention with its performance and unique patterns heading into the U.S. election period.
Bitcoin (BTC) price movements throughout the U.S. election period have drawn attention, particularly with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for October closely aligning with historical election years.
According to data shared by an on-chain analyst, BTC’s RSI readings in the past week before elections were notably close. For instance, in October 2012, RSI was recorded at 65.55, followed by 65.42 in 2016, 65.45 in 2020, and 65.01 in 2024 (6 days till close).
This similarity sparked speculation among some analysts, who suggested that, based on this historical pattern, another upward move could be on the horizon, especially if BTC maintains positive sentiment post-election.
As of late October, BTC’s price remained above the channel it had broken out from earlier this month. By holding this level, Bitcoin sustained its bullish momentum despite recent negative events.
According to market analysts, this positioning could support Bitcoin’s next test toward the $70,000 level. However, BTC could face potential volatility from the upcoming elections, with some predicting price fluctuations depending on the election results and any impact on the market.
Additionally, recent geopolitical tensions have also influenced price trends. Following Israel’s recent military actions, BTC experienced sharp but temporary drops, highlighting its tendency to react to global events.
For instance, after Israel’s conflict with Iran escalated earlier in the month, BTC briefly fell by over 4%, only to rebound by nearly 6.6% within hours.
Such reactions demonstrated Bitcoin’s capability to recover quickly after brief downturns, providing optimism for continued resilience.
Bitcoin ETF Inflows, BlackRock Holdings, and Price Speculation
Bitcoin’s potential for a price rally received further support from substantial inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. Since October 10, Bitcoin ETFs have reportedly accumulated over $3 billion in investments, indicating strong interest among institutional investors.
This large influx of funds has reinforced market speculation that Bitcoin could approach the $100,000 mark in the near future. Analysts pointed to these ETF inflows as a sign of strong institutional demand, driving optimism about BTC’s potential for a new breakout.
While many investors have quickly attributed these ETF inflows to asset purchases by giants like BlackRock, analysts have clarified that spot ETFs don’t operate on a same-day buy-and-hold model.
Instead, these investments often follow a 30-day settlement process. However, BlackRock’s holdings saw consistent increases, with the firm adding 17,111 BTC to its portfolio in October.
With these additions, BlackRock’s total holdings now exceed 400,000 BTC, underscoring its substantial involvement in the market.
Bitcoin’s Long-Term Growth Trends and the Power Law Debate
Beyond short-term fluctuations, some analysts have examined Bitcoin’s growth trajectory through the lens of the “Bitcoin Power Law.”
This model suggests that Bitcoin’s long-term price movement follows a growth curve similar to early internet adoption. Some projections indicate that this pattern might persist for another 10 to 15 years before potentially shifting to a more stabilized growth model.
Though the Power Law debate remains speculative, it highlights the strong long-term interest among BTC supporters.
Despite differing views on the Power Law, analysts agree that Bitcoin’s trajectory still appears robust, with significant growth potential as adoption continues globally. This long-term outlook reflects Bitcoin’s resilience as it solidifies its role as a key digital asset.
BTC’s Market Position and Investor Optimism for Post-Election Rally
Bitcoin’s recent moves in price and its historical RSI readings have fostered optimism for a post-election rally. While election outcomes pose potential risks, Bitcoin’s ability to sustain strong support levels has encouraged market confidence.
Bitcoin’s journey remains a focal point in the market as it enters the election season with key support levels intact and robust institutional interest. With BTC’s RSI echoing previous election cycles and ETF inflows showing bullish signs, many investors speculate that BTC could see higher levels soon, adding further momentum to its long-term trajectory.
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