Dogecoin's price surged in mid-October, reaching a monthly high of $0.14408, but has since declined by 7.09%. Technical indicators present mixed signals
Dogecoin's price has seen a roller coaster of changes in October, reaching a monthly high of $0.14408 on October 19. However, since then, the coin has seen a decline of 7.09%, bringing its current price to $0.13440.
Despite the decrease, Dogecoin's price remains significantly higher than its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is around $0.12758, as seen on the daily chart.
As Dogecoin's price action unfolds, some indicators suggest a potential downturn, while others hint at a significant rally. Let's explore these indicators and what they might hold for DOGE's next big move.
Dogecoin Price Shows Mixed Signals
At the beginning of October, Dogecoin was trading at $0.11413. The market remained in a sideways consolidation phase until October 13, struggling to break above the opening price of October 1.
The daily chart shows a Doji candlestick formed on the 13th, indicating a close battle between buyers and sellers at this level.
Finally, on October 14, buyers managed to push the price higher, breaking the resistance of October 1's opening price and reaching a high of $0.11658. By October 19, DOGE had seen a surge of at least 29.44%, reaching a monthly peak of $0.14408.
But, as the dust settled, the coin faced a slight downturn, and with the current price of $0.13488, DOGE has seen a decrease of nearly 7.09% from the peak.
As we zoom out to the 4-hour timeframe, investors can observe a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is usually associated with a bearish reversal. Moreover, the Daily Moving Averages (DMA) are converging, and the DAA (Daily Active Addresses) divergence of Dogecoin's price shows a weakening bullish momentum, as it has remained negative over the past week.
According to data from Coinglass, a majority of 52.35% of investors have opted for short positions in the last 24 hours, suggesting that more investors expect a near-term drop in DOGE's price.
Some crypto analysts have warned that if this bearish trend continues, the DOGE market could see further declines.
What the Indicators are Telling Us
Despite the bearish sentiment, the Directional Momentum Indicator on Dogecoin's daily chart is suggesting a bullish trend. The DI value is at 25.9254, above the -DI value of 15.7939, while the ADX index stands at 30.9689, remaining at least five points higher than the DI value.
The ADX line rises above both the DI and -DI lines, with the DI consistently above the -DI, indicating strong bullish potential.
Furthermore, Dogecoin has broken through the 200-day SMA on October 18 and continues to trade above this key level. The 50-day SMA is approaching the 200-day SMA, suggesting that a golden cross could happen soon, a pattern often associated with significant bullish momentum.
The possibility of a golden cross is even clearer in Dogecoin's weekly chart. This pattern is widely seen as a powerful bullish signal, with the last occurrence in 2021 leading to a massive rally.
Some analysts predict that if DOGE can maintain its position above the 200-week SMA, it could experience a rally of up to 200%.
To conclude, Dogecoin's technical indicators present a critical juncture, with both bearish and bullish trends being signaled. Investors will be watching closely to see which direction DOGE ultimately takes.
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