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Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Signs of Resilience Amid Market Fluctuations, Coinbase Premium and "Golden Cross" Indicator Offer Hope for Short-Term Recovery

Mary-Kate Olsen
Mary-Kate OlsenOriginal
2024-10-06 16:10:15249browse

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of resilience in the face of recent market fluctuations, with the price hovering around $61,361.60. According to recent analysis, the combination of robust demand in the United States and a technical indicator known as the “golden cross” may provide the support needed for a short-term recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Signs of Resilience Amid Market Fluctuations, Coinbase Premium and

Bitcoin (BTC) price seems to be finding support amid the recent market downturn, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency circling the $61,361.60 (€53,632.08) mark on October 3. This comes as strong demand from the United States, coupled with a technical indicator known as the “golden cross,” might be setting the stage for a short-term recovery, according to recent analysis.

Strong US Demand Fuels Optimism

On October 3, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlighted the potential for a BTC price increase, mainly driven by strong demand from US investors. This optimism comes at a time when Bitcoin has faced several tests of its $60,000 support amid geopolitical concerns, especially regarding the situation in the Middle East.

表明这种强劲需求的关键指标之一是 Coinbase 溢价。这一溢价反映了美国最大的加密货币交易所之一 Coinbase 上交易的比特币与另一家主要交易所 Binance 上的 BTC/USDT 货币对之间的价格差异。 Coinbase 溢价较高通常表明美国市场需求强劲。

CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Yonsei Dent 详细阐述了 Coinbase 溢价的重要性,并指出它在历史上与 BTC 价格行为相关。特别是,最近形成的“金叉”(当短期移动平均线穿越长期移动平均线时出现的看涨信号)可能至关重要。

“我们在 1 小时时间范围内分析了 Coinbase 溢价指数,以观察短期动能,并利用 24 小时(每日)和 168 小时(每周)移动平均线来了解更多背景信息,”Yonsei Dent 解释道。 “从历史上看,当每日移动平均线形成势头强劲的黄金十字时,我们很快就会看到价格的大幅波动。”

上一次出现这种金叉是在 9 月底,恰逢比特币升至 66,000 美元以上。分析显示,即使随后价格调整至 61,000 美元左右,美国投资者的持续需求也表明新的上行压力。

市场情绪与未来展望

Coinbase 最近的表现显示出相对于 Binance 的正溢价,这对于比特币的价格表现来说通常是一个令人鼓舞的迹象。随着比特币测试其支撑位,这些交易所出现了大量提款,这是自 2022 年 11 月 FTX 崩溃以来的最高提款率。

CryptoQuant 的 Coinbase Flow Pulse 可衡量比特币从其他交易所流入 Coinbase 的情况,进一步支持了这一积极前景。撰稿人小阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler Jr.) 指出:“从所有交易所流入 Coinbase 的比特币仍处于绿色区域,这表明美国市场对比特币的需求强劲。”尽管最近当地出现回调,但他强调看涨趋势仍然存在。

警告:虽然当前指标显示短期复苏的潜力,但建议市场参与者谨慎行事。比特币的价格走势仍然受到外部因素的影响,例如更广泛的经济状况和监管发展。加密货币市场以其波动性而闻名,虽然 Coinbase 溢价和黄金交叉等积极信号令人鼓舞,但应在更广泛的市场叙述和价格变动的背景下看待它们。

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