Solana [SOL] Primed for a Relief Rally as Altseason Trends, Can it Reclaim $160?
Solana [SOL] has been one of the top performing cryptocurrencies in the last 12 months. Few top coins have come close to its gains and ability to achieve a strong bounce back after every major dip. But will a similar outcome play out this time?
Solana [SOL] has had a remarkable year so far, with gains that few top coins have come close to achieving. But after a strong bounce back from every major dip, will a similar outcome play out this time?
The last week of August saw SOL bears maintain dominance as market sentiment took a downturn. This pushed SOL into an important price level, around $120, that has historically acted as support for at least the last 6 months.
Moreover, SOL price recently showed consolidation above the same level in the first week of September. Sell pressure has notably tapered out, which suggests that there could be some accumulation taking place.
Our assessment of SOL demand shows a spike in the number of net longs to over 18 million NLs at the $128 price level. This indicates that market sentiment is shifting in favor of the bulls.
However, this also highlights the risk of heavy liquidations, which may see price dip lower. A leverage shakedown may have already occurred 2 days ago when price dropped below $128, reaching the support band.
Aside from the observed consolidation, SOL may also enjoy a flood of liquidity now that altcoin season is trending. Bitcoin dominance has trended lower in the last five days, indicating a growing focus on altcoins.
SOL has been one of the most attractive altcoins so far this year, which puts it in the crosshairs of investors looking for the best opportunities.
Solana transactions and on-chain volumes have been declining since the last week of August. However, on-chain data reveals a bit of a surge in on-chain activity, especially with transaction growth towards the end of last week.
There was also a slight volume uptick during the same period. SOL Price showed bearish weakness during the same period, which could indicate that there was a spike in accumulation.
If altseason kicks off, then the Solana network may experience a resurgence of activity. This should translate to a spike in transaction activity, as well as more demand for SOL within the network’s DeFi ecosystem.
Such an outcome could pave the way for a strong recovery just as has been the case with SOL in the last few months. A recovery rally may pull off at least a 15% to 20% upside from the current position, to the next major resistance level.
This means price may rally above $160 in the next few days in the event of a strong bullish move.
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