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MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Implied Volatility (IV) Surges Past Bitcoin (BTC) as Market Awaits Price Swings

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2024-08-14 21:00:10789browse

Over the years, cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin BTC/USD, have earned the reputation of being one of the most volatile asset classes in the market.

MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Implied Volatility (IV) Surges Past Bitcoin (BTC) as Market Awaits Price Swings

Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), are widely known for their high volatility, making them a risky yet potentially rewarding asset class. Interestingly, some publicly traded companies that are directly or indirectly linked to cryptocurrencies are experiencing even higher volatility than Bitcoin and are expected to see more drastic price movements in the coming days.

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR), famous for its massive Bitcoin holdings, had a 30-day implied volatility of 81% at Tuesday's market close, according to Fintel. This volatility measure is used by options traders to gauge the expected price fluctuations of a stock over a specific period.

In comparison, Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility stood at 55% at the time of writing, according to the charting platform TradingView. King Crypto's volatility forecast has dropped significantly from yearly highs of 82% in March.

Also, read: Elizabeth Warren’s Pro-Bitcoin Rival John Deaton Calls Out Her Campaign for Labeling Him A Recruit: ‘She’s Worried For A Reason…’

America's biggest cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) had an implied volatility of 68%, while the stock of the world's largest Bitcoin mining company, Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), showed a reading of 85%.

Meanwhile, to provide some perspective, Bitcoin's volatility is still high compared to several other mainstream assets. For example, the SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) ETF had an implied volatility of 20.1 at Tuesday's market close, while the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSE:AGG) had a reading of 9.6.

This vast difference in projected volatility is noteworthy, especially considering Bitcoin's prolonged sideways movement following its all-time high in early March.

With the exception of a few market downtrends, King Crypto has generally drifted within a range of $62,000 and $72,000 over the past few months. However, the projection of higher volatility for the mentioned stocks aligns with a similar forecast for AI chip-making giant NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA).

At Tuesday's market close, the tech powerhouse recorded an implied volatility of 66%, which is also higher than Bitcoin's reading.

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