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Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

王林
王林Original
2024-07-30 19:58:21225browse

Compiled by: Felix, PANews

Before purchasing any token, a wise investor should at least analyze the following key factors:

  • Market Cap (MC)
  • FDV
  • Future Unlock Situation
  • Token Demand
  • Narrative

This type of analysis will help determine whether a token is worth holding and has upside potential. But 98% of altcoins are destined to fail because they simply don’t have any potential. For example, if you invested $10,000 in AXS in November 2021, you would only have $382.5 left today.

In addition, as can be seen from the chart below, only TON, SOL, Memes and BTC showed significant growth within 90 days. All other so-called “tech” altcoins fell.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

If you don’t want to see your money disappear over time, then you should avoid holding the following three altcoin types.

  • Outdated and Overrated Projects

These types of projects usually have no technology because they are made up. Over time, they will gradually lose value compared to ETH, as is seen now.

  • Projects related to past narratives

Typically characterized by high FDV, low market cap and sustained selling pressure. These tokens have lost narrative relevance and are gradually declining.

  • Inflated Tokens

The supply of such tokens is strictly controlled by the team or VCs, resulting in manipulated valuations.

Based on the above three types, crypto researcher ardizor took stock of 8 coins that are destined to “fail”.

PANews Note: This article is intended to provide market information and does not constitute investment advice, DYOR.

XMR

You all probably know about Monero’s anonymity and privacy of transactions.

XMR is one of the oldest crypto tokens. However, the price of XMR has not changed much since 2022, and it may be banned in the future like Tornado Cash.

The most important thing is that Binance delisted it this year, which may be the "last straw that breaks the camel's back".

Short-term overvaluation, bleak prospects, and high risks.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

FLOW

Flow is a proof-of-stake blockchain designed to be the foundation of Web3 and the open metaverse, supporting consumer-scale decentralized applications, NFTs, DeFi, DAOs, PFP projects, and more.

Unfortunately, market interest in the project has faded, causing its value to decline.

This is due to continued selling pressure from VCs and reduced hype surrounding NFTs.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

XRP

XRP is designed for fast and low-cost global transactions. However, this is an unnecessary fork of BTC and the valuation is too high.

XRP has a fanatical following, but its developer, Charles Hoskinson, is also very eccentric, and the author thinks he has "schizophrenia."

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

AXS

The ones listed here are not only applicable to Axie Infinity, but also other veteran P2E tokens such as SAND and MANA.

The market excitement about it has faded and the FDV is quite high.

The hype surrounding these coins has died down and there is no hope of price recovery.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

DYDX

The key challenge of DYDX is the token unlocking.

These unlocking mechanisms were designed to stabilize selling pressure, but resulted in continued price declines.

Many projects are facing this problem, so it is crucial to review the unlocking schedule if the project wants to survive.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

WLD

WLD is essentially a fictional token whose supply is tightly managed by major players and insiders who are always dumping the token. The odds of winning are not on the side of retail investors.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

BCH

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a fork of BTC designed to increase block size and process more transactions simultaneously.

However, BCH is essentially similar to Bitcoin without major changes. Basically, it's just a fake Bitcoin. Why do you need fake Bitcoins? Got to see a really smart guy back it up. XRP is not the worst coin, but ETH or BTC are better.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

ADA

ADA is similar to XRP but without any litigation issues.

ADA has a crazy community that will hold on to their token even if the price drops to $0.0000001.

Starting from narrative and valuation, take stock of 8 tokens that may “fail”

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