On July 3, 2024, Guy Turner, the host of Coin Bureau, released a captivating video exploring the intriguing possibility that central banks might start buying Bitcoin (BTC).
Could central banks start buying Bitcoin (BTC)? What impact would this have on the market and your crypto portfolio? Coin Bureau host Guy Turner explores this intriguing possibility in his latest video.
El Salvador sparked a wave of speculation in 2021 when it began accumulating BTC, leading to questions about which government might be next. Turner suggests that central banks worldwide could soon follow suit and might already be secretly doing so. To grasp the potential future developments, it's crucial to understand the relationship between cryptocurrency and central banks.
Central banks began paying close attention to the crypto industry after Facebook unveiled its Libra (later DM) project in 2019. Notably, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin were created in response to the 2008 financial crisis, while central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) emerged in response to the rise of crypto. More than 90% of central banks are actively working on CBDCs, which highlights their interest in blockchain technology.
While some central banks, like the European Central Bank (ECB), are critical of Bitcoin, others, like the Swiss National Bank, are open to holding BTC if it can serve as a reserve currency. Several factors could pique central banks' interest in BTC, including using it as a hedge against inflation, a backup to their CBDC strategies, and an alternative to gold.
Due to its lower inflation rate, portability, ease of transaction, and minimal storage costs compared to physical gold, some central banks might view BTC as digital gold. Central banks holding BTC could strengthen their fiat currencies, which are currently not backed by tangible assets.
For central banks to begin holding BTC, several prerequisites must be met. Commercial banks need clear standards for holding crypto, and the crypto market must be deep and liquid enough to handle large transactions without significantly impacting prices. The transactions also require privacy, and secure storage solutions are necessary to protect their crypto holdings.
Some financial institutions, like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), are unlikely to adopt crypto due to their opposition to it. However, Turner suggests that some central banks might already be accumulating BTC behind closed doors, using their deep market knowledge to navigate this space.
The analyst also examines the potential effects of central banks buying BTC on the crypto market. He predicts that their purchases could drive BTC prices higher and establish a price floor, much like their influence on gold prices. This could attract new investors from traditional assets like gold to BTC.
However, there are potential risks. If central banks have negative experiences with crypto, we could see increased market volatility and stricter regulations. Additionally, if large amounts are bought or sold suddenly, central banks buying BTC could make it more volatile.
Finally, Turner discusses the possibility of central banks considering other cryptocurrencies, like Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), XRP, and Stellar's XLM, for their reserves. He highlights that Ethereum, with its strong market position and infrastructure support from companies like ConsenSys, could be a likely candidate.
Turner concludes by highlighting that while the idea of central banks buying BTC might seem far-fetched, it is a plausible scenario with significant implications for the crypto market. He encourages viewers to stay informed and consider the potential impacts on their investments.
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